I did some calculations as well and saw that when you compare the 2020 percentage of Biden vs Trump with the 2024 percentage of Harris vs. Trump by ward, in 2024 Trump gained 3 points in Ward 5, 2 points in Ward 2 and 2 points in Ward 8.
Harris outperformed Biden in the rest of the city by slimmer margins, except in Ward 6 where she gaine…
I did some calculations as well and saw that when you compare the 2020 percentage of Biden vs Trump with the 2024 percentage of Harris vs. Trump by ward, in 2024 Trump gained 3 points in Ward 5, 2 points in Ward 2 and 2 points in Ward 8.
Harris outperformed Biden in the rest of the city by slimmer margins, except in Ward 6 where she gained 2 percentage points and Ward 7 where she was up by 1 point.
So basically we see Trump gain in the "majority minority" and lower income wards while Harris gains in the most affluent.
I had thought we would have seen some slippage in Ward 6 and 7, but it was the opposite.
I did some calculations as well and saw that when you compare the 2020 percentage of Biden vs Trump with the 2024 percentage of Harris vs. Trump by ward, in 2024 Trump gained 3 points in Ward 5, 2 points in Ward 2 and 2 points in Ward 8.
Harris outperformed Biden in the rest of the city by slimmer margins, except in Ward 6 where she gained 2 percentage points and Ward 7 where she was up by 1 point.
So basically we see Trump gain in the "majority minority" and lower income wards while Harris gains in the most affluent.
I had thought we would have seen some slippage in Ward 6 and 7, but it was the opposite.
That is part two of my analysis so I am glad you posted so I can double check my numbers 🤣
I live in Ward 6 and Harris enthusiasm was high.
The rest of Evanston assume some things right about Ward 6, but also assume many things wrong.